Open Intelligence Review suggests that do to reprisals by peasants in rural Guatemala and Black Shadow death squads and Central American Prison Deaths in El Salvador. A recent raid on MS-13 members in San Francisco with other cities possibly coming up.
MS-13 May be developing news strategies:They have been very popular in the US and a wide range of talent from marginal to very effective, but they currently have a comparatively decentralized gang culture.
Therefore, MS-13 may be trying to reorganize in the following ways:
- Evaluate their US talent
- Merging less promising cliques into other groups with better established drug retail connections
- Move their more talented leaders into less street-visible Major drug Wholesalers.
- This would protect their contacts in expensive and hard-to-set-up transit networks from exposure to rival DTOs
Intelligence Questions to answer:
- Have they may have established a new source of drugs, possibly through Venezuela, or Nicaragua which would cause them to leverage their Central American - US Transit networks?
- Are they there other signs that they are trying to compete with the Gulf and Sinaloa cartels?
- Are there signs of efforts to develop more sophisticated operational, intelligence and communication efforts
- Which MS-13 members are traveling from which cities?
- How has their crime pattern changed?
- Are they establishing more sophisticated human trafficking network logistical assets?
Interim conclusion
- MS-13 is restructuring
Possible final Conclusions
- MS-13 is simply trying to consolidate and organize recent growth in their numbers in the US, and address attriion in Central America
- MS-13 is trying to move up the wholesale chain as a DTO
- MS-13 is trying to Model themselves after more sophisticated multifacited international criminal organizations kie la cosa nostra and are making changes at all levels
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